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Full circle moments are endless in the everlasting search for the elite QB

Before jumping into the NFL offseason (congratulations to the Seattle Seahawks on becoming Super Bowl champions), let’s go back to early last season to set the stage for things to come. The date in the focus is September 15, 2024. That’s win the Houston Texans defeated the Chicago Bears, 19-13, on a Sunday night in Houston. After the game, Texans quarterback C. J. Stroud, coming off a rookie campaign in 2023 that had some saying the next great QB is here, would meet with Bears signal-caller Caleb Williams, who was himself a rookie at that point. Much would be made of what transpired during that conversation, but one of the main theories was Stroud talked to Williams like he was a seasoned vet trying give knowledge to a young buck in the game. Whether or not that was the substance of their conversation is up for debate, but what is certain is a lot has changed since that day, and both quarterbacks are at pivotal points in their respective careers.

For Stroud, it was mentioned how well he played in his first season, winning the Associated Press Offensive Rookie of the Year award, while leading Houston to the divisional playoff round before going out to the Baltimore Ravens (common theme developing). Most people expected the rise to continue, but something that’s often forgotten is defenses are also part of sports, and the days of sneaking up on them would eventually come to an end. Therefore, Stroud would have to develop plans B and C to go with his plan A, and if not, less progression and more regression is sure to follow. Well, it’s been two full seasons since it’s his stellar rookie campaign, and it appears the Texans are in a spot the majority of the football world didn’t think they would be in, wondering if Stroud is the answer at quarterback going forward. Last year ended in a lackluster loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, and this season’s conclusion looked even worse. If it wasn’t for Houston’s defense, the team might have been done in the wild card round against the Pittsburgh Steelers, hampered by Stroud’s three turnovers. Any worries from that game turned into full-blown doubts after the Texans were eliminated (in the same divisional playoff round as the previous two seasons) by the New England Patriots. Four interceptions doomed Houston, and not even the defense could pull this out of the fire. Now, the Texans have to figure out if Stroud is worthy of a long-term extension going forward, and this being a question is far from what was expected at this point two years ago.

As for Williams, things have improved steadily since that postgame meeting with Stroud, but it was far (and still is) from what was expected from the supposed next elite QB. His rookie season was uneven at best, and while his numbers point to a solid season (20 touchdowns, 6 interceptions in 2024), there were a lot of sacks eaten by Williams, some of those because of the offensive line being bad, but the other part is his lack of being able to play on-schedule. New year, new system to learn, as Ben Johnson arrived (after being the offensive coordinator for the Detroit Lions) to take over head coaching duties. The numbers, from a TD (27) to INT (7) standpoint, were even better for Williams. Having said that, there were numerous games where nothing was happening on offense for the first three quarters (which led to a completion percentage of 58.1), with the sophomore QB struggling to hit what would be considered easy completions. The hope in him being the long-term answer comes from his ability to do two things. First, Williams came through in the fourth quarter, leading Chicago to seven comeback victories, including one in the wild card round against the Green Bay Packers. Secondly, there are plays Williams makes that only a few quarterbacks are capable of. The Los Angeles Rams saw that first hand in the divisional playoffs, forcing him to scramble backwards on an all-or-n0thing fourth down, only to see Williams heave a touchdown pass to tight end Cole Kmet to force overtime (the Rams would win 20-17). While the plays that make the highlight shows provide sizzle and hope, it’s hard to see a scenario where sustained success comes from waiting for miracles.

If there is a moral to the story, it’s understanding there are many ways to arrive at the same point. For Stroud, things began with the highest of highs, but currently, he’s in a regression that appears hard to shake. As for Williams, it was the opposite, with his rookie year being rocky, followed with a better second year. Regardless of the paths taken, they are both QBs of teams who had the chance to play in their respective conference championship games, and as a result, face a pivotal offseason where they have to make significant improvements if further steps are to be taken. While the talk will center around Stroud and/or Williams becoming the next elite quarterback, the concentration should be on just being solid. If not, there will be more questions than answers going forward, and the search to find the franchise quarterback may have to continue.

Having said that, the logical conclusion is the Texans and Bears have the guys they want to lead their teams. It could be because Stroud and Williams have been good enough, but a bigger reason might be the lack of alternative options available if there was a choice to move on. Those are questions that may not have an answer any time soon, but between now and the first game in September, Houston and Chicago will probably want to see the leadership and work ethic show in a big way, especially if there is to be a long-term commitment for the coming years. When Stroud and Williams had that conversation in 2024, most people thought they were looking at two of the next great QBs exchanging “pleasantries.” As it stands right now (especially for Stroud), it’s a question how many chances are left to prove they can led their respective teams to the pinnacle. Moments frozen in time have a way of re-emerging, and if the basis of that talk was Stroud trying to give Williams a teaching moment, it’s now realistic to say the former might need to receive that same conversation before too long.

Author: bestkeptsecret19

I’m just a man trying to be listened to. Hopefully, I can motivate and inspire people on the way to making a widespread positive difference.
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The result on the field speaks louder to the ever-changing landscape of college sports.

There are cases where people say “the more things change, the more they stay the same.” That in and of itself sounds contradictory, but there are a few items that stay consistent through all of the additions and subtractions. In other cases, if an individual isn’t willing to evolve with the times, they will get left behind, and eventually, become obsolete. Just like many things in life, college sports (football specifically) is an example of this, and there was a game that directly speaks to a case where one team is moving with the times, while the other is stuck in the 2010s. The contest (if anyone wants to call it that) under the spotlight was between Oklahoma State and Oregon, played last Saturday afternoon in the Pacific Northwest.

The Ducks demolished the Cowboys 69-3, and even with that score, the game might not have been that close. Not many should be surprised at the result, as Oregon is a national title contender ranked fourth in the country, while Oklahoma State is careening off a cliff to uncertain times. What sparked more conversation than the actual game were pregame comments made by Cowboys head coach Mike Gundy, in regard to how much money Oregon has spent to assemble their roster. Gundy made reference to his program spending “around $7 million over the last three years,” and Oregon spending “close to $40 (million) last year alone.” Apparently, the Ducks took those comments as a shot at their coach, Dan Lanning, and they were ready to administer a blasting of epic proportions.

After a little analysis, it’s logical to believe Gundy’s comments added fuel to the Ducks’ fire, but listening to what he said points to something much bigger than just this game. As mentioned earlier, college sports is evolving at a daily rate, and the items leading constant change are name, image and likeness (NIL), and the transfer portal. Once NIL kicked in during the summer of 2021, the college sports landscape went through (and is still absorbing) a seismic shift. Now, the players are allowed to build income through third parties, and the evolution has reached the point where athletes can negotiate NIL deals with the university itself (House settlement). Combine this with the transfer portal, where players can essentially enter a glorified free agent pool, and the influence head coaches have on a program isn’t nearly as large as it once was. In other words, the days of amateurism can be declared a distant memory.

This brings us back to Gundy and his program at Oklahoma State. While there is still a lot to be said about the recruitment of high school athletes, NIL and the transfer portal is here to stay, and if a coach can’t evolve with the times (just like anything else in life), he or she will drift into irrelevancy. Money will have to be spent if a school wants to stay competitive, and this is something Lanning and Oregon clearly understands. Even with the money that’s spent, it’s the coach’s responsibility to have the team ready to play week after week, and there have been performances in the last couple of years where one could wonder if Gundy has lost touch with the current athlete. Sure, the Ducks have the better team, but the Cowboys came in uninspired and lethargic, basically defeated before the game even kicked off. When Gundy made those comments (and try to clarify after the fact), they sounded more like built-in excuses for the ensuing beatdown.

From the outside looking in, it appears the time for Gundy to step down from his position is overdue. The stubbornness to stick with tools that worked in 2015 is showing they won’t work in 2025 and beyond. The head coach doesn’t have all of the power anymore, and there’s a need to understand players could potentially make as much money as they do. It’s no coincidence Nick Saban, who apparently didn’t want much to do with the changing dynamics, decided to retire from Alabama after the 2023 season. For Gundy, there’s two choices to pick from. Either move aside for someone with a fresher mind, or get with the evolution. If his answer is the former, housings like the one Oklahoma State received from Oregon will become the norm, and the choice for Gundy to stay will be made for him.

Author: bestkeptsecret19

I’m just a man trying to be listened to. Hopefully, I can motivate and inspire people on the way to making a widespread positive difference.
View all posts by bestkeptsecret19